b2ap3_thumbnail_BayesNetworkCloud_Stock_June09_2017_640X360.pngSummer is over. The transition period between Summer and Fall is usually an exciting time for investors, as they are back from their hard earned vacation and had had time to reflect on their investment strategy.  A few things are usually awaiting the investors in September. However, 2019, it is different: Spring and Summer have seen wild swings and roll-coaster trends and investors did not have opportunity to relax over Summer.

 

 

First, the seasaw trends:

After a sustained upward trend over 2018 that lasted until the end of Summer,  there was scary dip in 2018 Q4.  The  Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) dropped from 26,648 on Sep 1, 2018 to 23,327 on Dec 1, 2018, or 13%. ^DJI   almost recovered  and reached 26,593 on April 1, 2019.  

By May 1, 2019 the ^DJI had dropped to 24,815 and then popped up to 26,865 by July 1, 2019, a record.   By August 30, 2019, The  Dow Jones Industrial Average had gone back to levels of end of Summer 2018, basically to square one .

But, there are events and data pointing to potential challenges in the market:

On top of all that, US are going through a rollercaoaster with presidential elections with  interesting candidates on the democratic side and a low level of public enthusiasm and concern in the republican quarters.

With the mix of positive and not so positive factors, investors should brace for increased uncertainty in Q3 and Q4 2019