AroniSoft - AroniSoft Tag http://www.aronisoft.com/index.php/aronismartinvest-in-action/latest Tue, 12 Nov 2019 06:37:56 +0000 Joomla! - Open Source Content Management en-gb AronInvest: Another Week of Outstanding Performance http://www.aronisoft.com/index.php/aronismartinvest-in-action/entry/aroninvest-another-week-of-outstanding-performance http://www.aronisoft.com/index.php/aronismartinvest-in-action/entry/aroninvest-another-week-of-outstanding-performance AronInvest™ Stocks Selection for the Week of June 27, 2011

. Most of thes stocks have performed as predicted by AronInvest™, beating major indices, as of July 1, 2011 at 3:00 PM:







  • CELG: Celgene had very good news in the previous weeks. The closing price on June 24, 2011 was: $58.77 and has climbed to $60.54


  • TIVO: TiVO was another stock to watch given expanding opportunities with NetFlix and new products like TiVo Premiere Q to be retailed as Premier Elite, and compatibilities with systems like Monsoon’s Vulkano Flow TiVo price on June 24, 2011 was 9.93 and has jumped to 10.84


  • GC: Great Canadian Gaming Corporation has seen good acquisition news. The price declined slightly from $7.81 to $7.67


  • GLNG: Golar LNG Limited, a oil and Gas storage and transportation, already trading in high performance territories and put on our current tracking list. The price increased from $32.14 to $36.17


  • JAZZ: Jazz Pharmaceuticals, Inc with a very high Return on Assets. JAZZ price increased from $31.82 to $34.87


  • LGND: Ligand Pharmaceuticals Inc., trading at 690% over its 52-week low of $1.37 and having recorded a speedy ascent from the 52-week low. The price of Ligand Pharmaceuticals increased slightly from $10.99 to $12.00

  • ROSE: Rosetta Resources Inc. already on AronInvest LLC tracking list. Rosetta's price increased from $46.14 to $52.51.


  • CYOU: Changyou.com Limited(ADR), one of the 10 best performing US listed Chinese stocks. CYOU has increased from the price of $40.25 to $46.22.


  • ESGR: Enstar Group Ltd. was trading 55% above its 52-week low and had seen a significant jump since June 23, 2011. ESGR increased from $100.55 to $105.86


  • IAG price has decreased from $17.96 to $18.31




  • ©AroniSoft LLC July 1, 2011
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    aronisoft@optonline.net (AroniSoft LLC) Financial Solutions Fri, 01 Jul 2011 19:06:44 +0000
    Strategic Analytics - Tools vs Insights Part 3: SAS Financial Services http://www.aronisoft.com/index.php/aronismartinvest-in-action/entry/strategic-analytics-tools-vs-insights-part-3-sas-financial-services http://www.aronisoft.com/index.php/aronismartinvest-in-action/entry/strategic-analytics-tools-vs-insights-part-3-sas-financial-services


    Now that we have given a flavor of what AronInvest may bring to the average investor, it may be the appropriate time to look at other competing solutions. What other options are out there? We will start with the powerhouse technology Solutions for Strategic Analytics: SAS®.



    SAS has been around in the financial industry for many many years. 34 years according to their claims.  It has basically dominated the market for Statistical and Datamining Analytical solutions for years. It is an undisputed leader. SAS application areas are so broad that a sole blog may not cover. SAS is so powerful that national and local SAS® users groups cover North America and other continents. SAS has ceated a culture for itself.



    Today's article focuses on SAS capabilities in in financial solutions. SAS calls it Financial Services (see here for SAS Financial Services). When you look at it though, the SAS Financial Services really focus on Banking and Customer Relationship Management. SAS Financial Services cover four areas:



    • Banking


    • Credit Unions


    • Capital Markets


    • Lenders




    But when one looks closely, the focus is on risk management, whether evaluating customer for a bank loan or looking a the overall firm risk.  Hence, one can say that when it comes to providing Financial Solutions, SAS has chosen the Risk Management niche.









    The Risk Management niche of SAS may be compared to the Investment solutions offered by AronInvest.  If one needs to evaluate risk of individuals or companies, then SAS Financial Solutions may be the right tool. But if one needs a solution  truly suited for investors who want to select the promising stocks as easily and efficiently as possible, the AronInvest may be the right choice.



    In the next article we will look at another strategic analytics tool.




    Read more]]>
    aronisoft@optonline.net (AroniSoft LLC) Financial Solutions Fri, 13 May 2011 23:46:49 +0000
    AronInvest: Sailing through April 2011 with unparalleled performance http://www.aronisoft.com/index.php/aronismartinvest-in-action/entry/aroninvest-sailing-through-april-2011-with-unparalleled-performance http://www.aronisoft.com/index.php/aronismartinvest-in-action/entry/aroninvest-sailing-through-april-2011-with-unparalleled-performance
    Today, the recap will compare April 29, 2011 high prices with the prices of March 25, 2011.



    As of April 29, 2011 the portfolio selected by AronInvest† has a growth of 12.6% over the value as of March 25, 2011. What is more exciting is that the growth trend continues to be steady, from 2.4% in the first two days and upward in the following days and weeks.





    Detailed numbers as of April 29, 2011, i.e. a month after tracking the selected performance shows the following outstanding results.

    NB: AroniSoft, LLC does not own any of these stocks. This guarantees our unbiased analysis.











































































































































































































































































































































































































































    Stock March 25, 2011 Baseline

    March 29, 2011

    March 31, 2011 April 4, 2011

    April 11, 2011

    April 20, 2011

    April 29, 2011

    ACH $23.74 $23.94 $23.91 $24.62 $24.89 $24.15 $23.55
    ACN $51.96 $54.27 $55.15 $55.33 $56.00 $56.90 $57.865
    AGN $69.79 $70.59 $71.40 $72.89 $75.49 $78.54 $79.57
    CCOI $13.99 $14.17 $14.29 $14.86 $15.24 $13.95 $14.51
    CPL $82.45 $83.15 $87.17 $89.49 $86.43 $91.99 $90.34
    EBIX $22.52 $22.12 $22.88 $24.45 $22.74 $23.32 $23.03
    FFIV $94.88 $97.40 $103.00 $95.54 $95.98 $111.63 $102.98
    GILT $4.90 $5.32 $5.33 $5.21 $5.10 $5.00 $4.81
    GLNG $24.24 $24.31 $25.96 $28.92 $27.10 $31.00 $32.99
    IPXL $24.68c. $25.06 $25.69 $25.78 $27.86 $26.78 $27.76
    PSB $56.66 $57.49 $58.01 $59.38 $57.99 $59.19 $60.61
    RMBS $19.70 $19.66 $19.81 $19.86 $19.57 $21.49 $20.38
    SF $71.63 $71.25 $71.86 $72.50 $71.04 $69.03 $69.975
    SQM $54.08 $53.61 $55.53 $57.94 $59.64 $59.00 $61.05
    TLEO $33.73 $35.16 $36.33 $35.54 $35.07 $35.49 $36.47
    TWI $25.50 $25.23 $26.67 $27.42 $26.55 $27.49 $31.27
    TZOO $56.77 $66.68 $69.00 $76.63 $77.41 $95.45 $86.77
    Total $731.22 $749.41 $771.99 $786.36 $ 784.10 $ 830.40 $823.93
    Growth Baseline 2.5%

    5.58% 7.54% 7.2% 13.6% 12.7%









    The performance of the common indices over the same period is as follows:











































































































    Stock March 25, 2011 Baseline March 29, 2011 Growth April 20, 2011 Growth April 29, 2011 Growth
    .DJI 12,220.59 12,285.41 0.53% 12,505.99 2.33% 12,763.46 4.4%
    .INX 1,319.18 1,319.45 0.02% 1,337.38 1.37% 1,360.14 3.1%
    RUI 729.60 732.67 0.42% 743.87 1.95% 756.54 3.7%
    .IXIC 2,743.06 2,756.89 0.50% 2,820.16 2.8% 2.869.74 4.6%


    The index with the best performance (.IXIC or Nasdaq Composite index) grew by a 4.6%, close to 3 times less that AronInvest portfolio.



    The results reaffirm our April 20, 2011 conclusion on the efficacy of AronInvest. The performance in the past months has confirmed that it is more effective to use AronInvest in the stock selection process and maintain a highly significant performance, compared to the major indices.





    ©AroniSoft LLC, 2011

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    aronisoft@optonline.net (AroniSoft LLC) Business Solutions Sat, 30 Apr 2011 23:44:17 +0000
    AronInvest 4 Weeks Continued Superior Performance http://www.aronisoft.com/index.php/aronismartinvest-in-action/entry/aroninvest-4-weeks-continued-superior-performance http://www.aronisoft.com/index.php/aronismartinvest-in-action/entry/aroninvest-4-weeks-continued-superior-performance


    As of April 20, 2011 the portfolio selected by AronInvest† has a growth by 13.6% over 4 weeks. What is more exciting is that the growth was steady, from 2.4% in the first two days and upward in the following days and weeks.



    Detailed numbers as of April 20, 2011, i.e. a month after tracking the selected performance shows the following outstanding results.

    NB: AroniSoft, LLC does not own any of these stocks. This guarantees our unbiased analysis.

































































































































































































































































































































































































    Stock March 25, 2011 Baseline

    March 29, 2011

    March 31, 2011 April 4, 2011

    April 11, 2011

    April 20, 2011

    ACH $23.74 $23.94 $23.91 $24.62 $24.89 $24.15
    ACN $51.96 $54.27 $55.15 $55.33 $56.00 $56.90
    AGN $69.79 $70.59 $71.40 $72.89 $75.49 $78.54
    CCOI $13.99 $14.17 $14.29 $14.86 $15.24 $13.95
    CPL $82.45 $83.15 $87.17 $89.49 $86.43 $91.99
    EBIX $22.52 $22.12 $22.88 $24.45 $22.74 $23.32
    FFIV $94.88 $97.40 $103.00 $95.54 $95.98 $111.63
    GILT $4.90 $5.32 $5.33 $5.21 $5.10 $5.00
    GLNG $24.24 $24.31 $25.96 $28.92 $27.10 $31.00
    IPXL $24.68c. $25.06 $25.69 $25.78 $27.86 $26.78
    PSB $56.66 $57.49 $58.01 $59.38 $57.99 $59.19
    RMBS $19.70 $19.66 $19.81 $19.86 $19.57 $21.49
    SF $71.63 $71.25 $71.86 $72.50 $71.04 $69.03
    SQM $54.08 $53.61 $55.53 $57.94 $59.64 $59.00
    TLEO $33.73 $35.16 $36.33 $35.54 $35.07 $35.49
    TWI $25.50 $25.23 $26.67 $27.42 $26.55 $27.49
    TZOO $56.77 $66.68 $69.00 $76.63 $77.41 $95.45
    Total $731.22

    $749.41

    $771.99 $786.36 $ 784.10 $ 830.40
    Growth Baseline 2.5%

    5.58% 7.54% 7.2% 13.6%









    The performance of the common indices over the same period is as follows:



























































































    Stock March 25, 2011 Baseline

    March 29, 2011

    Growth April 20, 2011

    Growth

    .DJI 12,220.59 12,285.41 0.53% 12,505.99 2.33%
    .INX 1,319.18 1,319.45 0.02% 1,337.38 1.37%
    RUI 729.60 732.67 0.42% 743.87 1.95%
    .IXIC 2,743.06 2,756.89 0.50% 2,820.16 2.8%


    The index with the best performance (.IXIC or Nasdaq Composite index) grew by a 2.8%, five times less that AronInvest portfolio.



    We can now start drawing a conclusion on the efficacy of AronInvest. The performance in the past months has confirmed that it is more effective to use AronInvest in the stock selection process and maintain a highly significant performance, compared to the major indices.





    ©AroniSoft LLC, 2011

    Read more]]>
    aronisoft@optonline.net (AroniSoft LLC) Business Solutions Sat, 30 Apr 2011 23:42:48 +0000
    AronInvest in Action: Apr 11, 2011 http://www.aronisoft.com/index.php/aronismartinvest-in-action/entry/aroninvest-in-action-apr-11-2011 http://www.aronisoft.com/index.php/aronismartinvest-in-action/entry/aroninvest-in-action-apr-11-2011





    Stock

    March 25, 2011 Baseline



    March 29, 2011



    March 31, 2011

    April 4, 2011



    April 11, 2011







    ACH

    $23.74

    $23.94

    $23.91

    $24.62

    $24.89





    ACN

    $51.96

    $54.27

    $55.15

    $55.33

    $56.00





    AGN

    $69.79

    $70.59

    $71.40

    $72.89

    $75.49





    CCOI

    $13.99

    $14.17

    $14.29

    $14.86

    $15.24





    CPL

    $82.45

    $83.15

    $87.17

    $89.49

    $86.43





    EBIX

    $22.52

    $22.12

    $22.88

    $24.45

    $22.74





    FFIV

    $94.88

    $97.40

    $103.00

    $95.54

    $95.98





    GILT

    $4.90

    $5.32

    $5.33

    $5.21

    $5.10





    GLNG

    $24.24

    $24.31

    $25.96

    $28.92

    $27.10





    IPXL

    $24.68c.

    $25.06

    $25.69

    $25.78

    $27.86





    PSB

    $56.66

    $57.49

    $58.01

    $59.38

    $57.99





    RMBS

    $19.70

    $19.66

    $19.81

    $19.86

    $19.57





    SF

    $71.63

    $71.25

    $71.86

    $72.50

    $71.04





    SQM

    $54.08

    $53.61

    $55.53

    $57.94

    $59.64





    TLEO

    $33.73

    $35.16

    $36.33

    $35.54

    $35.07





    TWI

    $25.50

    $25.23

    $26.67

    $27.42

    $26.55





    TZOO

    $56.77

    $66.68

    $69.00

    $76.63

    $77.41





















    Total

    $731.22



    $749.41



    $771.99

    $786.36



    $ 784.10 





    Growth

    Baseline

    2.5%



    5.58%

    7.54%



    7.2%







    ©AroniSoft LLC, 2011
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    aronisoft@optonline.net (AroniSoft LLC) Investment Solutions Mon, 11 Apr 2011 23:40:46 +0000
    AronInvest in Action: Stifel Financial Corp stock split http://www.aronisoft.com/index.php/aronismartinvest-in-action/entry/aroninvest-in-action-stifel-financial-corp-stock-split http://www.aronisoft.com/index.php/aronismartinvest-in-action/entry/aroninvest-in-action-stifel-financial-corp-stock-split


    So, instead of panicking, rejoice and continue to observe the unparalleled performance of AronInvest†. On April 8, 2011 at the closing bell  a recap will be made to estimate how AronInvest has done so far.



    Disclaimer: AroniSoft and its owners do not own any of the stocks tracked by AronInvest. This may change once the tracking has stopped.



    ©Copyright AroniSoft LLC . All rights reserved. 2011
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    aronisoft@optonline.net (AroniSoft LLC) Uncategorized Fri, 08 Apr 2011 23:39:30 +0000
    Strategic Analytics - Tools vs Insights Part 2: Statistical Tools http://www.aronisoft.com/index.php/aronismartinvest-in-action/entry/strategic-analytics-tools-vs-insights-part-2-statistical-tools http://www.aronisoft.com/index.php/aronismartinvest-in-action/entry/strategic-analytics-tools-vs-insights-part-2-statistical-tools


    At outset, let us confirm our belief that AronInvest remains unique, in the sense that it is niched, has a proprietary model, and is truly suited for investors who want to select the promising stocks as easily and efficiently as possible. The tools shown in the table below have the limitations we underlined in our previous article when it comes to handling the specific problem.



    Below are the tools:



     



     



     



     























































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































    Product Developer Latest version Windows Mac OS Linux BSD

    Unix Com- mercial Cost

    Open source Software license Interface Segm- entation Discri-minant Analysis Data- Manip-ulation Data- Trans-formation
    GenStat VSN International 12,  July-2008 Yes >$190 No Proprietary CLI/GUI + + + +
    JMP SAS Institute October, 2010 Yes Yes Yes No No $1895 No Proprietary GUI/CLI + + + +
    LimDep Econometric Software, Inc. May-11 Yes No No No No Begins at $595 No Proprietary CLI/GUI - + + +
    Mathematica Wolfram Research 8.0.0, November 2010 Yes Yes Yes ? Yes $2,495 No Proprietary CLI/GUI + - + +
    MATLAB The MathWorks Twice per year Yes Yes Yes No Yes Depends on many things. No Proprietary CLI/GUI
    Minitab Minitab Inc. 18-May-10 Yes Terminated No No No $895–$1395 No Proprietary CLI/GUI + + + +
    Partek Partek Jun-11 Yes No Yes No No No Proprietary GUI + + + +
    R R Foundation April, 2010 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Free Yes GNU GPL CLI/GUI[6] + + + +
    SAS SAS Institute Mar-11 Yes Terminated Yes No Yes ~$6000 per seat No Proprietary CLI/GUI + + + +
    SPlus Insightful Inc. 2005 Yes No Yes No Yes $2399/year No Proprietary CLI + + + +
    SPSS IBM 2007 Yes Yes Yes No No $1599 No Proprietary CLI/GUI + + + +
    Stata StataCorp Jul-11 Yes Yes Yes No Yes $1,245 No Proprietary CLI/GUI + + + +
    Statgraphics StatPoint October, 2009 Yes No No No No $695 – $1495 No Proprietary GUI + + + +
    STATISTICA StatSoft November, 2010 Yes No No No No >$695 No Proprietary GUI + + + +
    StatIt StatIt Yes No No No No >$395 No Proprietary GUI + + N/A N/A
    StatPlus AnalystSoft 7-Jan-07 Yes Yes No No No $150[1][2] No Proprietary GUI - - + +
    SYSTAT Systat Software Inc. 21-Feb-07 Yes No No No No $1,299 No Proprietary CLI/GUI + + + +
    UNISTAT Unistat Ltd 15-Mar-05 Yes No No No No $895, $495, $300 No Proprietary GUI, Excel + + + +
    XLSTAT Addinsoft Inc. Feb-11 Yes Yes No No No $395[2] No Proprietary Excel + + N/A









    ©Copyright, AroniSoft LLC 2011
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    aronisoft@optonline.net (AroniSoft LLC) Investment Solutions Wed, 06 Apr 2011 23:38:30 +0000
    AronInvest in Action: April 4, 2011 http://www.aronisoft.com/index.php/aronismartinvest-in-action/entry/aroninvest_in_action_apr_4_201 http://www.aronisoft.com/index.php/aronismartinvest-in-action/entry/aroninvest_in_action_apr_4_201





    Stock

    March 25, 2011 Baseline



    March 29, 2011



    March 31, 2011

    April 4, 2011



    April 8, 2011







    ACH

    $23.74

    $23.94

    $23.91

    $24.62

    $





    ACN

    $51.96

    $54.27

    $55.15

    $55.33

    $





    AGN

    $69.79

    $70.59

    $71.40

    $72.89

    $





    CCOI

    $13.99

    $14.17

    $14.29

    $14.86

    $





    CPL

    $82.45

    $83.15

    $87.17

    $89.49

    $





    EBIX

    $22.52

    $22.12

    $22.88

    $24.45

    $





    FFIV

    $94.88

    $97.40

    $103.00

    $95.54

    $





    GILT

    $4.90

    $5.32

    $5.33

    $5.21

    $





    GLNG

    $24.24

    $24.31

    $25.96

    $28.92

    $





    IPXL

    $24.68c.

    $25.06

    $25.69

    $25.78

    $





    PSB

    $56.66

    $57.49

    $58.01

    $59.38

    $





    RMBS

    $19.70

    $19.66

    $19.81

    $19.86

    $





    SF

    $71.63

    $71.25

    $71.86

    $72.50

    $





    SQM

    $54.08

    $53.61

    $55.53

    $57.94

    $





    TLEO

    $33.73

    $35.16

    $36.33

    $35.54

    $





    TWI

    $25.50

    $25.23

    $26.67

    $27.42

    $





    TZOO

    $56.77

    $66.68

    $69.00

    $76.63

    $





















    Total

    $731.22



    $749.41



    $771.99

    $786.36



    $  





    Growth

    Baseline

    2.5%



    5.58%

    7.54%



    N/A  







    ©AroniSoft LLC. All Rights Reserved.
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    aronisoft@optonline.net (AroniSoft LLC) Business Solutions Mon, 04 Apr 2011 23:34:08 +0000
    Aroninvest - First Week Performance http://www.aronisoft.com/index.php/aronismartinvest-in-action/entry/aroninvest-first-week-performanc http://www.aronisoft.com/index.php/aronismartinvest-in-action/entry/aroninvest-first-week-performanc


    As of March 31, 2011 the portfolio selected by AronInvest† had a growth of 5.58% over 5 days. What is more exciting is that the growth was steady, from 2.4% in the first two days to the 5.58%.



    Detailed numbers are in the previous post: AronInvest in Action: March 31, 2011.



    The performance of the common indices over the same period is as follows:























































































    Stock March 25, 2011 Baseline

    March 29, 2011

    Growth March31, 2011

    Growth

    .DJI 12,220.59 12,285.41 0.53% 12,381.68 1.32%
    .INX 1,319.18 1,319.45 0.02% 1,329.77 0.50%
    RUI 729.60 732.67 0.42% 738.99 1.29%
    .IXIC 2,743.06 2,756.89 0.50% 2,783.98 1.46%


    The index with the best performance (.IXIC or Nasdaq Composite index)  grew by a 1.46%, four times less that AronInvest portfolio.



    It is of course too early to draw a definite conclusion but so far so good for AronInvest. The upcoming weeks will shed more light on the performance of AronInvest against the major indices.







    ©AroniSoft LLC, 2011

    Read more]]>
    aronisoft@optonline.net (AroniSoft LLC) Investment Solutions Thu, 31 Mar 2011 00:02:35 +0000
    Strategic Analytics: Tools vs Insights, Part 1 http://www.aronisoft.com/index.php/aronismartinvest-in-action/entry/trategic_insights_part1 http://www.aronisoft.com/index.php/aronismartinvest-in-action/entry/trategic_insights_part1


    Strategic Analytics usually need a good statistical and data mining tool.

    Tools are developed for all kinds of purposes, but unfortunately, no single tool may address the needs of all the sophisticated users that Strategic Analytics are. Hence, as needs methodologies, techniques and technologies evolved a choice has been between tools that cover broad needs, and those we may call: "niched."



    Usually, focused users like AroniSoft tend to be less interested in the quantity of features, than the quality of the insight garnered from using the tool.  In fact, for us a good strategic analytics tool needs to meet at least four criteria:

    1) Does the tool allow us to get from data from multiple sources to relevant information

    2) Does the have the statistical and/or data mining functions needed

    4) Is the tool flexible in its proposed functions?

    3) Is the tool easy or intuitive to use?



    Other criteria may be added, but we will focus on these.



    Users at AroniSoft have decades of collective experience using several statistical and data mining tools. Some tools have come and gone, others have withstood the test of time. Yet others have either trimmed down their ambitions or used in marginal areas of applications.



    We remember tools like Silicon Graphics DMINER that failed to catch up despite initial great promises, or those that were able to carve out their niche, such as MINITAB and EXCEL.

    Other tools have established their names as the advanced analytics tools. These include SAS (including SAS Enterprise Miner,SAS JMP), S-Plus, R, SPSS,  and STATA.

    There are a whole lot of number of tools used in specialized domains, usually not in the public domain,  but those are out of the scope of our analysis.





    Without a doubt, SAS has become the powerhouse of analytics. It has dominated the industry for more than 30 years.

    Critics have tried to pick holes here and there but could not tame  its momentum.  For some of us, the first use of SAS goes back to when we had it for DOS and Mainframe. Back then, it was a whole lot experience that the new generation of strategic analysts see only in movies.



    Since its introduction SAS ride the wave of challenges, most positive we may add:

    1) The availability of cheap and fast computing powers

    2) The explosion of technology innovation

    3) The advances in statistical methodologies and data mining techniques



    Initially, SAS choose to focus on incremental growth: adding existing techniques, a venue made possible by the new computing powers.

    This gave an edge to SAS, but at the same time allowed new tools to find their ways in:

    1) SPSS came in with easier to use tools with better graphics

    2) STATA came at the heels of SAS with more focus on highly advanced analytics and less on data crunching

    3) Later S-Plus explored the new territories of cutting edge statistical techniques, with the flexibility of an advanced programming language



    The database marketing in the financial, packaging, telecommunications industry made all possible, or at least  a great deal of it. Database marketing managers, mostly composed on statisticians and operations researchers pushed the enveloped and forced the tools to implement advanced statistical methods, Neural Networks, Artificial Intelligence, Decision Trees (CHAID/CART),  and Genetic Algorithms.



    The strategic analytics industry adapted to the never ending needs and demands and went to the extremes of selling the tools under the marketing scheme: "No Statistician or Operations Researcher needed." It backfired.  Because of two problems, maybe more: the blackbox effect and the lack of expertise. It is  one thing to trust fortunetellers it is another to trust an uneducated advisor.

    The ease of use concept ignored the understanding of statistics and operations research part necessary for gaining insights and supporting an informed decision making.

    What was forgotten is that: Strategic Analytics is not about the numbers. It is about the insights and the decision made about them to impact the bottom line.

    Hence, most of the tools that sold on the ease of use failed to catch up. Silicon Graphics DMiner may be classified as one of them.

    Another selling point was the integration with other existing tools. That was a good move given the leverage of computing technologies. Nevertheless, once again integration was secondary to insights generation.

    Finally, better integration,  multiple techniques within the tool, and beauty over substance made the tools sometimes  have a prohibitive cost, far outweighing their intrinsic value. SAS Enterprise Miner, a wonderful tool has failed to catch up, as it was for SPSS Clementine and other general purpose data mining tools.



    Speaking of general purpose, most of the tools makers forgot the basic law of economics: expertise.

    The lack of focus killed some tools. As William J. O'Neil  put it in his National Bestseller book "How to Make Money in Stocks. The McGraw Hill Company, 2009." who want to be operated by a doctor who is a part timer?

    SAS, S+ and SPSS, the major players in the area of Strategic Analytics may have learned the lesson:

    1) Focus of you areas of strength

    2) Sell the bottom value not the "nice to have": it is all about the strategic insights

    3) Flexibility: Innovate consistently



    Tools that will last will be those that meet the three criterias.



    We will look at how each tool has addressed these challenges, focusing on those that have been successful (SAS, SPSS, S+), those that have found their niche (MINITAB, Excel, STATA), and those that died a slow death such as Silicon DMINER.



    ©Copyright 2011. All rights reserved.
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    aronisoft@optonline.net (AroniSoft LLC) Business Solutions Wed, 23 Mar 2011 02:00:48 +0000
    AronInvest: Investment Strategic Analytics http://www.aronisoft.com/index.php/aronismartinvest-in-action/entry/aroninvest-investment-strategic-analytics http://www.aronisoft.com/index.php/aronismartinvest-in-action/entry/aroninvest-investment-strategic-analytics
    Financial Models are either too complex, complicated to use, or with limited value;

    Charts have proven to be valuable tools, but how can an investor select what charts to focus on in a given period, out of thousands of stocks;

    Advisory pieces and analyst recommendations: One of the major concern is to know how and why the analyst has come up with the recommended stocks and investment tool;

    Newsletters: newsletters are as limited to the skills, the tools and the biases of those writing the letters themselves.

    Usually individual investors or financial analysts are left on their own, either to choose a tool or to come up with their own tools. Relevant tools may be a blackbox with limited input from the analyst or complex to use. But more importantly, very few tools address the basic fundamental question most investors have: where to turn, start, and stop in selecting key stocks on which to focus.

    Such tools may be too expensive for an individual investor or too simplistic with criteria and information available to everyone else, so that the competitive advantage is lost. That is where AroniSoft comes in. Simply put, AroniSoft has developed a tool that will help both the advanced and the individual stock investor to select a few potential winning stocks, on which to further focus. In simple steps easy to setup, the tool creates segments of stocks based on proven success factors for a stock and the latest performance metrics.

    With the tool, an investor will also be able to use their own data to select or narrow down the key stocks for further analysis. The tool also integrates other information freely available in the public, especially the internet to complement the individual research. But perhaps the strongest selling point of the tool is the ability to sift through thousands of stocks, and create homogenous groups of stocks, that we call Stock Segments. Each group has its own historical and current performance, but most importantly includes fewer stocks. The investor is the able to focus on the small number of the stocks. Even the small number may be reduced further.

    Finally, the tool is able to use the data provided by the investor to customize the Stock Segments for a laser-like focused analysis. At the end, the investor may make an informed choice for a stock.

    That tool is: AroniInvest. We provide a few shoots below that show the intuitive user interface. Although the tool is build on robust statistical techniques with cutting edge approaches, the investor is spared from dealing with these complexities. AroniSoft has done that work. To showcase the tools, we will use the tool to make a weekly pick of stocks and show the key segments that we feel may be of value.

    If you are interested in the tool, please contact us at:

    We look forward to seeing our customers getting the most out of AroniInvest.



    AroniSoft LLC



    ©AroniSoft LLC March 2011
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    aronisoft@optonline.net (AroniSoft LLC) Financial Solutions Sat, 19 Mar 2011 23:05:15 +0000