AroniSmartInvest and AroniSmartIntelligence Stock Market Sentiment Machine Learning and NLP Analysis: Update on Market Sentiment and Highlighted Stocks as of Mid-August 2022

In mid Q3 2022, the the stock market has been experiencing new dynamics. After the high volatility mixed with  some positive trends observed in  July 2022, positive trends have persisted .   On July 26, 2022, AroniSmart™ team, leveraging the NLP, Text and Sentiment Analysis,  Machine Learning, Data Science,  Time Series  and Support Vector Machine capabilities and Dominance Analysis of AroniSmartInvest ™ and AroniSmartIntelligence™ tools, looked at the stock market news and trends. The volatility of the stock market had continued, with mixed trends  and  both national and worldwide events and economic situation  continued to drive the market dynamics, with the key indices in seasaw movements, some with signifcant negative trends . On  August  13, 2022  AroniSmart™ team updated the analysis. From the latest analysis, the team has come up with insights and highlights on key stocks and the market sentiment  driving the dynamics of the stock market by mid  Q3 2022. 

Key Insights based on AroniSmart Analysis

The dynamics in mid-Q3 2022 have changed, with positive trends and improvements of all key market indices, except Crude Oil. In previous analyses, the dynamics observed since late Q1 2022 - early Q2 2022  were  the main drivers of the persistent,  and at times worsening,  volatility of the stock market. The factors captured in the Machine Learning of sentiment analysis remain the persistent inflation,  Federal Reserve Bank interest rates policies, Russia-Ukraine war, the worries about  China's economy,  and the projected economic performance  of major corporations.  In the new analysis, the data on the softening inflation, the impact of Federal Reserve Bank interest rates policies, and decreasing worries about the Russia-Ukraine war and  China's economy have fueled the market.

The insights based on the latest analysis are telling. Although the sentiment positivity remains below 50, the news on economy and the latest policy decisions appear to have negated the overall worries about the upcoming recesssion.  The dynamics in the stock market have positively impacted all the stock market indices. In one month, the indices have peformed as follows:

• S&P 500(^GSPC): +12.08%
• DOW 30 (^DJI): +8.97%
• NASDAQ (^IXIC): +15.82%
• RUSSELL 2000 (^RUT): +18.59% 
• Crude Oil Sep 22 (CL=F)":  - 22.34%

  Since early July 2022,  the U.S. stock prices seem to persist on a momentous bounce back, after  historical losses,  despite some periods of  being dragged down. The previous analyses by AroniSmart Team highlighted  the fact that, until recently, the stock market bottom reached in 2020 was believed to be the worst, before, at some point, the U.S. stocks experienced historical weekly losses, with Dow Jones suffering the longest losing streak in recent history, apparently the worst since 1932. 

The analyses also highlighted the probability of a market stabilization over Summer,  despite  persistent deep uncertainties and the fears of a recession. The current analysis shows that the new  trends in August may validate these high probabilities of temporary stabilization.

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 In the  analysis as of early July, 2022, AroniSmart stock segment analysis had shown  that,  for all the segments,  the following changes  were negative: changes from 52 week high,  changes from 50 days, and changes from 200 days. In the previious  analysis, the changes from 50 days had become positive, confirming the positive trends over the first three weeks of July 2022.  In the current analysis, the following changes  are mostly positive:  changes from 52 week low,  changes from 50 days, and changes from 200 days.

The example of  the stock price trend of AstraZeneca (NVDA)  highlights the finding.

Findings from AroniSmartIntelligence and AroniSmartInvest.

Below are the key stocks highlighted and expected to weight heavily on investment decisions and the associated sentiment analysis results.

Figure 1: AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis and Stocks - August 13 2022 - Market Profile for AZN

Figure 2: AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - August 13 2022 - Stocks Segmentation: Changes in prices and technicals.

Figure 3: Market Profile: High Performing and Short Growth Stocks - Sample

Figure 4 : AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis and Word Tags - August 13 2022

Figure 5: AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analyisis Stocks and Word Tags and Positivity - August 13 2022

Figure 6: AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks to Watch A - D- August 13 2022

Figure 7: AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks to Watch A - D - August 13 2022

Figure 8: AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks to Watch D - Z - August 13 2022

More detailed analyses can be conducted using AroniSmartIntelligence™ and AroniSmartInvest™ Big Data, Machine Learning, Time Series and Sentiment Analysis capabilities.

For  more on AroniSmartIntelligence™ and AroniSmartInvest™ capabilities, visit AroniSoft web site by clicking here. AroniSmartInvest™ and AroniSmartIntelligence ™ are available on Apple's App Store.

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